Tuesday, February 17, 2009

When The Going Gets Tough, The Tough Goes Shopping

It is probably shocking that I should cite (read “promote”) this oft quoted, sassy saying at a time when unbridled spending leveraged on paper gains in asset values appears to be the root cause of what ails our economy. We are in the throes of a big hangover after an all night party, an orgy of booze and whatever else that had added to the fun when it all happening, but, when the clock rang in the new day, has turned out to be yet another case of misbegotten self-deception and ignorance of the consequences of our uncaring actions.

Congress has just passed a $787 billion package of economic stimulus and the President will be signing it into law later today. It is great that something is being done but the reality is that however big it appears to be on paper, it is not quite enough and, echoing the sentiments of the more pessimistic economists, will only help stave off the onset of an economic depression. Extended unemployment benefits is only a temporary relief, barely enough to cover the true cost of living of those who have lost jobs involuntarily. Those who were self-employed do not even have the benefit of unemployment insurance. What we need in addition to job creation is job preservation. We should not keep infusing more blood into the patient if we don’t take the necessary steps to stop the bleeding.

I've been passing on the same message to my friends and acquaintances who have 'recession proof'' jobs and who have been wise to avoid the many ills that led to this recession - go out and spend some money. Forget about buying gold or putting your money away in an offshore account to protect your wealth. If the US and World economies do not recover, there is nowhere truly safe for one to disappear to. What we have seen in terms of collateral damage around the world as a direct or indirect reaction to the problems facing the US demonstrates the tight integration of the world’s economies. We may be living in different countries but we are not isolated from each other’s ills.

Why do I preach the need to spend to the more fortunate ones who have planned and saved for a rainy day? The smart ones spend counter-cyclically - work and save when jobs are plentiful and the pay is good, buy when things are cheap and demand is weak (you get the best picks). If you don’t do your part to help, you may someday conclude that you are not that smart after all.

Here are some suggestions on what you might do that can help the economy recover:

- Go out to dinner. If you can, invite someone you know who have lost a job - it will cheer them up and keep the restaurants running and a long line of direct and indirect jobs going. For one thing, these jobs cannot be outsourced to a foreign country.

- Go on a vacation at a domestic resort. Ski, bathe in the sun, kayak, ride a bike, etc. These industries employ the highest ratio of workers to customers. Keeping jobs going is easier than having to 'create' new jobs. You won’t be getting a tax credit for this under the stimulus package but do it anyway.

- Go shopping. Buy the pair of running shoes you have been meaning to but have not had the time because you were busy working. Buy that tie-dyed T-shirt or hand-made costume jewelry that you’ve always wanted from the local artists. Buy from your local farmers and grocers. While you are at it, give a go at haggling over the price – you’ll be pleasantly surprised if you do ask. You’ll enjoy the whole experience and you’ll be back for more – your ego needs to know that you can do better the next time. If possible, favor the small businesses - they are generally higher in the employee to customer ratio than the big chains. Don't fret over whether the item you buy is 100% local - bringing the item to your local store employs many, many people. Think of the jobs involved in the shipping and warehousing process. Even the task of displaying them on shelves and taking your money at the checkout desk involve people. A big portion of what you pay for any item goes towards these value-added services.

- Trade in you gas guzzling SUVs for the more eco-friendly vehicles - it does not have to be a hybrid that go 50 mpg. You'll be saving the earth and keeping yet another long line of jobs going - from the people in the assembly lines to the salesmen and to the garages that service your cars. Take advantage of the tax incentives in the stimulus package. You'll be treated like gold and you'll get deals that you could not have dreamed of during the boom years. Besides, you'll be better prepared for when oil and gas prices shoots up again.

It takes someone with the right combination of brains and guts to take the right actions. Now is the time for the tough to go shopping.

When the economy is on the road to recovery, you can revert to saving and putting money aside for the next ‘rainy day’. Be smart.